Thursday, August 11, 2011

DVD vs Video-on-Demand


For Module 4 I viewed Total Recall.  I viewed the movie digitally through Amazon.com’s video-on-demand.

 

The classic example of increasing returns is the Sony Betamax versus JVC VHS video tape format war.  Arguments are divided over why VHS won out.  Some argue that beta’s video quality was superior though others disagree (Scofield, 2003).  While the differences in quality were measurable in the lab, they were irrelevant on home viewing machines.  



©2010 and 2011 SimplyDV Limited (UK)

Initially Beta was the only game in town and offered more movies for rent (Scofield, 2003).  VHS offered more variety and lower price in players and many more rental titles.  The key factor in the VHS victory seems to be recording length (Owen, 2008, Scofield, 2003).  Betamax recording length was only 60 minutes, not long enough to hold a typical feature length movie.  VHS tapes recording length was three hours.  In European markets recoding length was less of an issue (3 hours 35 minutes versus 4 hours) with price playing a key role on the European front (Scofield, 2003).  

© Associated Newspapers Ltd












DVDs versus Blu-ray is a better example of increasing returns than DVDs versus video-on-demand.  They are similar technologies as were Betamax and VHS.  Similarly Blu-ray offers better video and audio quality and special features.  But they are more expensive and fewer titles are available.  You also need a Blu-ray player. DVDs can play in a Blu-ray player, but not vice versa.  With so many downloadable videos now available that can be played anywhere, DVD vs Blu-ray maybe more of a minor skirmish than a war. 


DVDs versus downloadable video does not fall neatly into either increasing returns or red queens.  Though both are used to view video, these are different technologies doing different things.  Download technology, whether you are downloading a book, movie, image, etc., fits better into the disruptive technology category.  It is likely DVDs don’t stand a chance against downloadable video.  Downloadable video can go anywhere and play on a variety of viewing technologies.  Currently there are more titles available on DVD, but that is changing rapidly.  This is evident in the demise of Blockbuster at the sword of Netflix.  Netflix got rid of the hassle of having to drive to the video store.  Without the expense of staffing and maintaining retail stores, Netflix was able to easily morph into downloadable sales (Fou, 2011).  Download technology may bring the extinction of DVDs, but it is also making casualties of, among other things, books and buying software on DVD.  It is a technology that has been and will continue to be a game changer.

Video-on-demand is making DVDs obsolete. It enhances the portability, and ease of viewing videos.  It reduces materials necessary to view and does away with going to a store both which reduce price.  Video-on-demand is a retrieval of stereoscopes and episcopes.  These were handheld viewers people could take anywhere to view images.  Episcopes projected 2-D images on a screen or wall.  Stereoscopes were used to view 3-D images. It is unclear what will be the reversal of video-on-demand.


An Episcope


 ©1999-'de Luikerwaal' 

The Stereoscope


 
References

Owen, D. (2008). The betamx vs VHS format war. Retrieved from: http://www.mediacollege.com/video/format/compare/betamax-vhs.html

Fou, A. (2011). Netflix vs Blockbuster – Perfect example of an industry replaced by a more efficient version of itself. Retrieved from: http://go-digital.net/blog/2011/02/netflix-vs-blockbuster-perfect-example-of-an-industry-replaced-by-a-more-efficient-version-of-itself/

Scofield, J. (2003). Why VHS was better than betamax. The Guardian. Retrieved from: http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2003/jan/25/comment.comment

Monday, August 1, 2011

Second Life- A Disruptive Technology?

 
A disruptive technology is one that is more efficient than an existing technology and therefore makes that older technology obsolete (Laureate Education, 2009). While some hail Second Life as a disruptive technology (Nuthall, 2008), current data suggest otherwise. While there are over 15 million registered users only about 68,000 are logged on at any one time (Plunkett, 2008).  Most users 54% log on for less than 3 hours a month. Approximately 6% of users log on for 200 hours or more a month. Plunkett (2008) estimates there are probably no more than a couple hundred thousand active users. More recent figures are not much different (Au, 2010). Recent workforce layoffs of 30% at Linden Labs, Second Life's parent company, indicate usage maybe on the decline (Wagner, 2010). Many colleges and businesses are also rethinking their presence on Second Life (Young, 2011, Reuters, 2007). Others also argue that Second Life has not really caught on with educators (Ash, 2011).


Second Life statistics pale in comparison with other disruptive technologies. Thornburg (Laureate Education, 2009) notes that the transistor, which displaced the vacuum tube,  is the cheapest mass manufactured product in the world. A single computer chip contains about 50 million transistors. This means that billions of transistors are manufactured each day just in the making of computer chips (Ward, 2010). Currently there are 5.3 billion mobile phone subscribers (mobiThinking, 2011). That is nearly 80% of the world population. Facebook has 750 million users, 50% of whom log on in a given day. In comparison with these technologies, Second Life just doesn’t make my list as a disruptive technology.



It is very unclear to me what Second Life replaces. Based on the data cited above it is replacing nothing. However, let us pretend it were actually disruptive. What then does it replace? Most users, 51%, use Second Life for ‘adult’ relations, called avaie erotica (Trentham, 2005). Does it replace real world intimate relations? That might mean trouble for the human species if it ever does become a true disruptive technology.

Is it just 3-d chat/texting/Facebook? Even if it is, based on the mobile phone and Facebook data previously citied, Second Life is not in a position to replace any of these.

Second Life has many social benefits. People with disabilities have used to interact with others people (WebUsability, 2004). It has been used in therapies for people with autism and Asperger Syndrome (Lftus, 2005). Second life also has many creative educational uses. This allows anyone anywhere in the world to have and share the same educational experiences.


References

Ash, K. (2011). Second life struggles to catch on with educators. Education Week. Retrieved from: http://www.edweek.org/dd/articles/2011/06/15/03secondlife.h04.html

Au, J.W. (2010, Jan 1). New year survey: How many active second life users with there be in 2010? Retrieved from: http://nwn.blogs.com/2010/01/new-year-survey.htm

Laureate Education, Inc. (2009). Disruptive technologies. [Video]. Retrieved from: http://sylvan.live.ecollege.com/ec/crs/default.learn?CourseID=5260655&Survey=1&47=5075954&ClientNodeID=984645&coursenav=1&bhcp=1

Loftus, T. (2005, Feb 25). Virtual world teaches real-world skills: Game helps people with Asperger's practice socializing. Retrieved from: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/7012645/ns/ health-mental_health/t/virtual-world-teaches-real-world-skills/

mobiThinking. (2011, July). Global mobile statistics 2011. Retrieved from: http://mobithinking. com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats

Nuthall, K. (2008, Jan 20). US: A disruptive technology arrives. Retrieved from: http://www.universityworldnews.com/article.php?story=20080117162121373


Plunkett, L. (2010). So how many people actually play second life? Retrieved from: http://kotaku.com/5052067/so-how-many-people-actually-play-second-life


Reuters. (2007). Companies rethinking second life strategies. Fox News. Retrieved from: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,301250,00.html

Trentham, C. (2005). Second Life – Creative Expression or Just Virtual Porn? Retrieved from: http://www.gameguidesonline.com/guides/articles/second_life_article.asp
 
Wagner, M, (2010, June, 11). Second life CEO looks to the future after massive layoffs. Computer World. Retrieved from: http://blogs.computerworld.com/16303/second_life_layoffs
 
Ward, J. (2010). Learning about transistors. Retrieved from: http://semiconductormuseum. com/Museum_Index.htm
 
WebUsability. (2004).Wheeling in second life. Retrieved from: http://www.usability. com.au/resources/wheeling-vid.cfm
 
Young, J. (2011). After frustrations in second life, colleges look to new virtual worlds. The Chronicle of Higher Education. Retrieved from: http://chronicle.com.ezp.waldenulibrary .org/article/After-Frustrations-in-Second/64137/